Democrats lose ground with women in recent polling

Samantha-Jo Roth

October 20, 03:08 PM October 20, 03:08 PM

Democrats appear to be losing ground with one of their most crucial voting blocs, women, in the final weeks of the midterm elections, according to recent polling.

A Monmouth University poll out Thursday found women to be evenly split between Democrats and Republicans on the generic ballot, 38% to 38%, an 8-point decrease since August, when the poll found women preferred that Democrats over Republicans be in control of Congress, 46% to 29%.

The findings come as Republicans focus on rising inflation and economic concerns under President Joe Biden as their closing argument. The poll found the number of people who rate inflation as extremely important has increased from 37% in September to 46% this month.

VOTERS AGREE: GOP TO TAKE HOUSE AND SENATE

This is the second poll this week that spells trouble for a critical constituency for Democrats in swing states and districts. A New York Times-Siena College poll released Monday found female independent voters favored Republicans by 18 points — a swing from the same poll conducted in September, when they favored Democrats by 14 points.

Overall, women were split 47% to 47% on whether they would support Democrats or Republicans on the generic ballot. Democrats had an 11-point advantage in the same poll last month.

Democrats have been banking on high turnout among female voters in the wake of the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade this summer. However, the latest poll shows the economy has surpassed abortion as a top concern among likely voters.

White Property adamant that Biden 'intends' to run in 2024 irrespective of voter sentiment

Christian Datoc

September 26, 03:09 PM September 26, 03:09 PM

White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre danced close to a unfavorable poll Monday exhibiting a majority of Democratic voters will not want President Joe Biden to run for reelection in 2024.

The poll, revealed by ABC Monday early morning, confirmed 56% of Democrats preferring a nominee other than Biden in 2024. That quantity ballooned to 75% amid Democratic voters under 40.

BIDEN LIKENS BRAVES' Appear-FROM-Guiding CHAMPIONSHIP Operate TO 2020 ELECTION

"I am really restricted on how I can talk about any kind of elections. I will reiterate what we have reported a lot of occasions from in this article: What the president has explained numerous moments, even as lately as the 60 Minutes job interview, is that he intends to run," Jean-Pierre said when pressed on the poll for the duration of Monday's push briefing. "The president will say, as I am expressing suitable now, is his concentrate is not on himself. His focus is on continuing to supply for the American folks."

Jean-Pierre gained stick to-up queries about the poll, especially noting that Biden "is deeply underwater when it arrives to the financial system," and if the White Home designs to "do nearly anything otherwise" in terms of its campaign strategy both this yr and forward of 2024.

"I won't be able to talk about the midterms," Jean-Pierre responded in one particular exchange. "What I can say is, and we talked about this, in our August memo — we are going to go out there, not just the president, the vice president, the Cabinet secretaries, you have congressional users in their district as nicely, and we are heading to talk about how we have shipped for the American people today."

Prior to the 60 Minutes interview, Jean-Pierre had verified Biden meant to run for reelection with no caveats about the Hatch Act.

Nevertheless the president's approvals ticked up throughout the late summer time, properly all polls continue to give him a detrimental ranking, and questions remained about whether his existence on the trail would help or hurt vulnerable Democratic candidates.

You can enjoy Monday's briefing in full underneath.

Biden sees drastic approval soar between Democrats but not Republicans

Christian Datoc

September 15, 10:35 AM September 15, 10:35 AM

A new poll offers President Joe Biden's acceptance score a considerable strengthen with much less than three months right until the midterm elections.

The Connected Press's results noticed Biden's over-all acceptance spike to 45% in September, a soar of 9 share points in contrast to its poll in July.

BIDEN ANNOUNCES $900 MILLION IN FUNDING FOR NEW EV CHARGING STATIONS

Biden saw an in particular huge enhance from Democrats, 78% of whom now say they approve of Biden's job as president, compared to 65% in July. Democrats also give Biden additional favorable marks on his economic stewardship, with 66% now approving as opposed to 54% in July.

Biden's scores from Republicans, nevertheless, have remained rather consistent. The September poll gave the president 10% GOP approval, as opposed to 8% in the earlier supplying.

There was a average bump in self esteem in the financial system in contrast to the summertime inspite of inflation and climbing expenditures of food stuff and shelter. In the preceding AP poll, just 20% said that economic disorders were very good, but in September, that amount rose to 29%.

AP conducted this latest poll amongst Friday and Monday and surveyed 1,054 individuals. The conclusions have a 3.9-stage margin of mistake.

Biden strategies to capitalize on his late summer bump. He, Vice President Kamala Harris, and other best administration officers have scheduled marketing campaign stops in additional than 30 states in the guide-up to November.

Biden himself has traveled to Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, using credit rating for financial progress due to the fact the summer season and contrasting it with the so-named "MAGA Republican" agenda Democrats claim is a danger to democracy, in addition to escalating fees on center-course family members.

"I will not stand by and check out elections in this place be stolen by people who simply refuse to acknowledge that they misplaced," the president said through a key-time address in Philadelphia in early September. "As your president, I will protect your democracy with each and every fiber of my currently being, and I am inquiring every single American to sign up for me."

'Good map for Democrats': Nate Silver assesses odds of Republicans profitable Senate

Daniel Chaitin

July 03, 01:34 PM July 03, 01:41 PM

Polling guru Nate Silver suggests the battle in between get-togethers to get handle of the Senate in the 2022 midterm elections is a "toss-up."

Republicans need to have a web achieve of only one seat to just take regulate of the higher chamber, which is break up 50-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris acting as the tiebreaker. But even with President Joe Biden's minimal poll figures and growing inflation, it stays a hard call for the GOP.

THE SENATE Six: THESE PITCHED BATTLES WILL Make a decision WHICH Bash WINS Bulk

Following noting that FiveThirtyEight's model pegs the Democrats as obtaining a really low (10-15%) possibility of retaining handle of the Dwelling, Silver reported it is a "extremely different tale" for the Senate. "For one particular issue, it's a fairly superior map for Democrats," Silver reported Sunday on ABC News's This Week.

"Republicans are defending 21 seats, to 14 for Democrats," he additional. "And all the Democrats are in states that Joe Biden won. But Republicans have taken some good hazards with their candidates, electing several nominees in vital races who are either politically inexperienced, like Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, or have individual scandals, like Herschel Walker in Ga, or have produced controversial statements on abortion, like J.D. Vance in Ohio."

The design demonstrates the prospects of Republicans climbing to electric power in the Senate at "only about 50%," Silver reported. "In other phrases, it is a toss-up," he additional. "So, no, I won't be able to seriously invest in this one particular. In the Household, yeah, the GOP is a crystal clear favourite. But the Senate is anybody's guess."

Republicans are promising some main investigations if they acquire 1 or equally chambers of Congress in the fall. Amongst them are inquiries into Dr. Anthony Fauci, Hunter Biden, and the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Practically a few-fourths disapprove of Biden’s dealing with of inflation: Study

Zachary Halaschak

June 27, 11:02 AM June 27, 11:02 AM

An overwhelming the greater part of people disapprove of how President Joe Biden is managing the worst inflation in a lot more than 4 many years, in accordance to a new survey.

A CBS/YouGov poll uncovered that 71% of U.S. older people surveyed gave the president undesirable marks on inflation. The study also located that 66% disapproved of Biden’s in general dealing with of the economy, and 59% disapproved of Biden’s career overall performance far more usually.

People surveyed were being also really pessimistic about the state of the economic climate, which, even with becoming plagued by inflation of 8.6%, even now has a tight labor marketplace and an ultra-very low unemployment level. A mere 22% stated the economic system is in fantastic form, with only 4% expressing it is in really good condition.

Inflation and the economic system are the greatest-precedence difficulties facing the place, with 82% and 80%, respectively, reporting them as superior-priority issues.

POWELL Guarantees Huge Fee HIKES Right up until ‘COMPELLING EVIDENCE’ INFLATION IS Slipping

This thirty day period, the Fed declared that it would hike its curiosity charge focus on by a few-quarters of a proportion position, to a variety of 1.5% to 1.75%. The central financial institution generally raises rates by just a quarter of a proportion stage, so the shift alerts that the Fed is now desperate to travel down selling prices.

“Over coming months, we will be wanting for compelling evidence that inflation is transferring down, regular with inflation returning to 2%,” mentioned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell last week. “We anticipate that ongoing level boosts will be proper the pace of these adjustments will carry on to depend on the incoming information and the evolving outlook for the economic system.”

The Fed's attempts to slow economywide investing have led quite a few investors and economists to dread that the threat of recession is high.

The Convention Board, a nonprofit enterprise investigate group, also unveiled a study that located most CEOs are now predicting a economic downturn or say that their place is now in a recession. And Nomura, a significant monetary firm, is penciling in a mild economic downturn starting in the fourth quarter of this yr.

The poll discovered that a large chunk of U.S. adults are also planning for a recession. Practically 45% of individuals queried explained that wanting ahead to the future year, they expect recessionary ailments, whilst an added quarter expect the overall economy to sluggish but not really to the amount of a recession. Just 3% said they be expecting the economic system to be booming a year from now.

Fathers right now engage in bigger function in children’s life than their personal: Poll

Heather Hamilton

June 19, 08:47 AM June 19, 08:47 AM

U.S. older people believe that the job of fatherhood has shifted more than the previous several a long time, with lots of noting the task has come to be additional hard, according to a modern poll.

When several are split as to whether fathers are accomplishing a better or worse work right now, a YouGov poll uncovered that 63% of older people consider fathers participate in as good or increased of a function in raising their small children than their fathers. Only 22% reported they believe that fathers now participate in fewer of a function in boosting their young children.

Look at: High Faculty SENIOR GRADUATES WITH 2,353 Times OF Fantastic ATTENDANCE

When questioned if the task of staying a father these days is a lot more tough than in the prior technology, 45% of U.S. grown ups and 52% of fathers agreeing it is additional challenging in the existing.

Final results also point out that fathers do not really feel valued by culture. Just about 50 percent of adults (46%), which include 55% of fathers say that modern society does not reward them for their perform and position. Equally, a poll in April found that 57% of adults do not consider mothers are rewarded for their do the job in modern society.

The YouGov poll surveyed 1,000 U.S. grownups involving June 8-13. The poll’s margin of error was in addition or minus 3.4 proportion factors.

Much less people today blame Trump for Jan. 6: Poll

Heather Hamilton

June 06, 12:48 PM June 06, 12:48 PM

New poll success display that much less than 50% of the general public now keep previous President Donald Trump liable for Jan. 6.

The percentage who feel Trump is “solely” or “mainly” liable for the Capitol riot dropped to 45% in comparison to 52% in the days subsequent the attack, according to an NBC poll.

A blended 55% now say the previous president is only “somewhat” or “not really” accountable.

‘OFF HIS ROCKER’: DESANTIS BLASTS BIDEN FOR TYING School LUNCHES TO LGBT Plan

The success seem to be to show that the Residence Jan. 6 pick out committee has some get the job done to do about the change in public viewpoint as it prepares for its initially public listening to this Thursday.

A sequence of 6 to eight hearings are expected to get place all through June, with the goal of generating a situation to the general public about the committee’s results around the earlier 12 months.

“The general public wants to know, needs to listen to from people less than oath about what led up to Jan. 6 and, to some diploma, what has ongoing following Jan. 6,” mentioned committee Chairman Bennie Thompson (D-MS).

The committee is composed of 7 Democrats and two Republicans, Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) and Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-IL), who broke with social gathering management following Republicans made the decision to boycott the panel.

"It is incredibly broad. It's extremely effectively structured. It really is truly chilling," Cheney advised CBS Sunday Early morning when questioned about the hearing and if the assault amounted to a conspiracy. "I have not acquired something that has manufactured me a lot less worried."

"We are luckily not at a minute of civil war, but we are surely at a time of testing," Cheney additional. "We are completely in a moment wherever we have to make a decision about no matter whether we are heading to put our really like of this region higher than partisanship. And to me, there is just, there is no gray space in that issue."

The poll interviewed 1,000 grown ups in between May 5-7 and 9-10. The poll’s margin of error was additionally or minus 3.1 share details.